Call the specials
About 399,000 special votes from the 2026 New Zealand election are still to be counted. Make your call: who governs once they're in, and which of the 5 closest seats change hands. Share it with friends, and when the Electoral Commission releases the official result on 27 November, see who called it right.
Who governs?
- National, ACT and NZ First keep their majority: 34% of simulated counts
- Hung: Opportunity holds the balance: 22%
- Labour, the Greens and Te Pāti Māori, with Opportunity: 44%
The closest seats
- Wairarapa: National leads Labour by 139 votes. Labour takes it in 66% of simulated counts.
- Wellington Bays: Labour leads Green by 140 votes. Green takes it in 87% of simulated counts.
- Mt Roskill: Labour leads National by 262 votes. National takes it in 4% of simulated counts.
- Te Tai Tokerau: Te Pāti Māori leads Green by 436 votes. Green takes it in 6% of simulated counts.
- Hamilton East: National leads Labour by 456 votes. Labour takes it in 19% of simulated counts.
The odds are from the special votes simulation: 50,000 simulated counts of the specials. Your call stays on your device; a link you share carries only your picks.
Flip Watch · Special votes simulation · National results